Wanted: New Paradigm
By Dick Brame
Atlantic States Fisheries Director
From the July/August
2005 Issue
of TIDE Magazine
It has
been said that it is relatively easy to manage collapsed fish stocks.
Once things slide to a certain level of depletion, you simply stop all,
or the vast majority of, harvest by all sectors and wait for recovery.
Once you have removed all alternatives, the remaining choice is an easy
one to make. It may not be popular, but there is usually no doubt that
it is necessary.
However,
once fish stocks are restored, who gets them? Once abundance increases,
how do you decide who gets what slice of the restored pie?
The
process that tries to produce an answer to this question has generally
been based on some period in the past. For example, if the commercial
sector caught 60 percent of the fish and the recreational sector 40
percent of the fish during some time frame in the past, say 1981 to
1989, then those years might be used to determine how the allowable
catch for the future will be set.
Understandably, there are more than a few problems with this scenario.
It presumes catches were measured accurately throughout time. We know
the recreational catch was never measured methodically until the early
1980s. Most commercial catch data goes back further, but the accuracy
of the reporting is largely unknown.
Most fish
stocks that declined in recent history were often at low levels of
abundance during the 1980s like summer flounder, weakfish and striped
bass. As stock abundance declines, recreational harvest generally
nosedives since anglers will most likely catch whatever is available. If
summer flounder have all but disappeared, anglers will move on to
another species that is more abundant and easier to catch. Commercial
fishermen will fish a stock harder, and further, to maintain their
harvest levels until the stock is physically incapable of producing. For
that reason, the commercial percentage of harvest is artificially
inflated in times of stock decline.
The “base
periods,” those years used to determine abundance in the past, are often
set in the 1980s, a time notorious for low populations of several
species of importance along the Atlantic coast.
The
underlying demographics of who is harvesting the fish have changed
dramatically over the past 25 years. Population growth on all coastlines
has exploded and thus more recreational fishermen are pursuing their
favorite species now. There are more recreational fishermen, generating
more economic activity related to fishing, than there has ever been
before.
For these
reasons, the time is ripe to develop a new method to fairly allocate
fish stocks. The most logical tool to explore at this juncture is a
method that brings the greatest economic benefit to the country.
CCA has
asked the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) to look into using
this method on summer flounder, an Atlantic coast stock that is
presently allocated 60 percent commercial and 40 percent recreational,
based on data from the early 1980s.
Amendment
14 to the Summer Flounder Management Plan, due to begin discussions this
year, is supposed to explore all aspects of summer flounder management
and CCA has suggested that NMFS take this opportunity to look at an
economic model as a new tool to develop allocation schemes.
No one
would argue we should allocate half the lobster or blue crab fishery to
the recreational sector as they have historically been primarily a
commercial species. But the other side of the coin is that prominent
sport species, such as red drum, speckled trout, summer flounder,
striped bass, bluefish, weakfish, king mackerel, tuna and dolphin, to
name just a few, should be allocated primarily towards the recreational
sector and managed for abundance rather than yield.
We take a
census in this country every 10 years to determine how the population
has shifted, and where resources and representation should be allocated
in the future in response to those changes. A similar system is sorely
needed in fisheries management, one that looks at present realities to
determine future solutions.